Monday, October 13, 2008

What's in a number?



I remember an NPR interview with Karl Rove just a few days before the 2006 midterm elections. Naturally, the just a teensy-bit liberal newscaster was talking about a number of polls that showed the Democrats taking the House that November, but Rove wouldn't have any of it. Acting a little snooty and very superior, he told the tweed-wearing NPR flak that he was watching very different polls. Polls, no doubt, that us unwashed heathens had no access to and couldn't possibly ever hope to locate. These vastly better polls told a different story of that November's winners.

Rove, God love him, was full of it and as the polls said the Democrats rokked the mic. All of this leads me to this Web site - a bastion of numbers and poll gathering likely to make the mind reel.
Pretty intense, but is it worth buying into? They're willing to call states for Obama that the folks at the MSM still claim are too close to call. Then again, they look at several polls a day and update their site every day.

Some may say their prediction that Obama has a 93 percent chance of taking the White House is a little lofty, but I'm willing to buy it. Then again, I've been accused of having more than a few tweed jackets in my closet.

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